Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 0.550004 0.720256 0.914200 1.148467 1.420782 1.724504 2.085986
2025-04-27 0.324498 0.532136 0.802477 1.166205 1.629077 2.185606 2.892254
2025-05-04 0.175602 0.376068 0.678306 1.130352 1.754358 2.553275 3.620853
2025-05-11 0.088595 0.262914 0.572291 1.086116 1.849906 2.881776 4.319292
2025-05-18 0.046398 0.198200 0.515305 1.093470 2.007086 3.294448 5.145125
2025-05-25 0.019714 0.139642 0.444563 1.058977 2.090992 3.604747 5.844900
2025-06-01 0.010262 0.116940 0.434312 1.121394 2.324046 4.134742 6.864027
2025-06-08 0.003640 0.088390 0.397517 1.125555 2.459728 4.525769 7.700970
2025-06-15 0.001640 0.078796 0.403792 1.212061 2.735847 5.135802 8.866760
2025-06-22 0.000450 0.066032 0.394840 1.264404 2.955004 5.666079 9.931804
2025-06-29 0.000034 0.052300 0.374905 1.288367 3.123636 6.122555 10.900107
2025-07-06 NaN 0.036388 0.335134 1.258703 3.190589 6.419175 11.638353
2025-07-13 NaN 0.027063 0.314316 1.271491 3.340417 6.860292 12.615787
2025-07-20 NaN 0.019813 0.295461 1.285022 3.491829 7.309297 13.617480
2025-07-27 NaN 0.011833 0.259254 1.243905 3.532082 7.576029 14.348404
2025-08-03 NaN 0.006267 0.224160 1.195242 3.550564 7.804365 15.023677
2025-08-10 NaN 0.003880 0.209294 1.202351 3.682710 8.227858 16.009883
2025-08-17 NaN 0.001696 0.182998 1.165156 3.716666 8.482072 16.734890
2025-08-24 NaN 0.001330 0.187125 1.231543 3.978590 9.139549 18.108782
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000620 0.174546 1.235873 4.103358 9.559126 19.111755
2025-09-07 NaN 0.000576 0.185275 1.327963 4.428955 10.341183 20.705592
2025-09-14 NaN 0.000377 0.186314 1.383625 4.674514 10.985996 22.088707
2025-09-21 NaN 0.000165 0.179862 1.409090 4.852278 11.513557 23.291194